Pictured: Morgan Tsvangirai being sworn in by his rival, Robert Mugabe this past week in Zimbabwe.
"You should listen to all people. Everyone has a story. Everyone can teach you something."
The above is a paraphrase of a statement my grandfather told me when I was young. It is typical grandfatherly advice. I am sure someone in your family said something similar to you at one point. Recently, I have been thinking of those words.
I was asked the question by radio host, Walt Sorg, in our recent monthly interview "If travel has changed my worldview?" The simple answer is yes. There is no way that it cannot help shape your views and perspectives. The most recent example is occurring as I travel through Southern Africa. The big issue in the region is the formalization of the unity government in Zimbabwe. Loyal readers of the blog know that I have been critical of Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe in the past.
Though Mugabe, led his country to freedom over the minority white rule in the late 1970's, his recent years have led his country in an uncontrollable downward spiral. What was once an economic engine and the food-basket for the region is now a country that is suffering from hyperinflation and a general public on the brink of starvation. The country's health system has fallen apart and the country is exposed to a growing cholera epidemic.
In March of 2008, the national election took place and the results were withheld for over a month. The opposition party the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) led by Morgan Tsvangirai claimed victory of a majority of the votes. Though the courts, stacked with Mugabe supporters, claimed there was not a majority and that a second run off election needed to occur. In the lead up to the second election, supporters of the MDC were targeted with widespread attacks. Weeks before the second election Martin Tsvangirai, withdrew due to escalating violence to his supporters and his belief that there was increasing indication of widespread electoral fraud. Mugabe took the oath of office to much worldwide ridicule after the second vote. A number of countries including the US increased their level of economic sanctions on the Zimbabwe government claiming that the election was a fraud.
I believe that Robert Mugabe is a tyrant. I believe that he is a murderer. I believe that Zimbabwe is better off without him in any position of leadership and on trial for human rights abuse. I believed that before this trip and I still believe that fourteen months later. What has changed is how I view the new unity government.
Until I traveled to Southern Africa, I thought that strong economic sanctions should be levied by the world powers until Mugabe relinquished power to Morgan Tsvangirai. No questions. No exceptions. No compromise. No unity government. It was a principled stance. In addition, I thought South Africa and the SADC (Southern African Development Community) should play the role of the "heavy" in making it happen even helping in a "forceful" form, if necessary.
At the surface, I felt that South African leaders did not put enough pressure on Mugabe because they were fellow comrades in the struggle for freedom. Robert Mugabe and Zimbabwe played a pivotal role in helping the ANC fight apartheid in South Africa. Mugabe created a safe haven and funded some of the work of the ANC during the 1980's and most of the current ANC leadership is from that time.
After spending six weeks in the region, I no longer see things in black and white but rather in shades of gray. Robert Mugabe's control of the military is considerable and he is not likely to be removed by insurgency or coup. After numerous discussion with people, there seems to be three viable solutions. 1. Do nothing and hope the sanctions work. 2. Use external force to remove Mugabe and install Tsvangirai. 3. Support the unity government.
The first solution has been in place for the past eight months and has had little movement in removing Robert Mugabe or creating the atmosphere in the country for rebellion or by the military for a coup. The people who are being hurt are the common citizen. The end result is increased poverty, lack of food and increase in health issues like cholera. There has been a constant stream of refugees seeking asylum in South Africa, Botswana, Mozambique and Zambia. There is mounting pressure in those countries to resolve the situation because they cannot handle the influx of the refugees.
A military solution is off the table for a number of reasons. The UN Security Council couldn't even agree on tougher sanctions so the hope of an umbrella global response with peacekeepers is unrealistic. The African Union has called for a "unity government." South Africa which is now suffering from the large influx of refuges and the Zimbabwe cholera epidemic is coming into its borders has the military force but not the standing to make it happen. Any military action from the outside does not eliminate the potential for long term insurgency from the loyal Mugabe military. It would become their Iraq and they know the Rumsfeld Doctrine though we didn't- "You break it-you buy it."
In the end result, the only viable solution is to end the suffering of the people and bring some stability to the region both on a social and economic level through a unity government. Of course, it is difficult for people to come to this conclusion because it rewards the thuggery and illegal behavior of Robert Mugabe. But others look the other way, because they hope the infusion of the MDC and Morgan Tsvangirai will be the right influence to set the course on track for the country.
The recent power-sharing arrangement that was reached earlier this month between Mugabe and Tsvangirai has been endorsed by a cadre of leaders that I respect like Archbishop Emeritus Tutu, Nelson Mandela and President Jimmy Carter. Though it wasn't these leaders that finally tipped me over to supporting the unity government, it was a shoe cobbler from Zimbabwe that fixed my sandals the other day in Gaborone, Botswana. After fixing my sandals, we had a fairly lengthy conversation about the unity government and his hope for his home country. He had to leave the country in order to provide for his family and he hopes to be able to return when things stabilize. He supported the unity government and gave me this example.
He said, "The best way to scale a mountain is to climb straight to the top from the bottom. But if you don't have the tools or support from those that have the tools you can only climb the mountain by going around it slowly. Slowly rising with each turn until eventually you are at the top. There is no other way-- is there?" He was right. There was no other way of conquering the mountain. The rest of the world and the rest of the continent were not giving the tools to the MDC and Morgan Tsvangirai so they had to slowly circle the mountain patiently waiting to get to the top.
I hope there is some lifting of the sanctions and increase of aid from other world countries that can help move this country forward. I understand why countries like the US are skeptical of this unity government so any changes in sanctions or aid should be done on incremental basis with strong benchmarks showing full implementation of the unity government.
In closing thoughts, I am sure I would have got there on my own. I had seen the refugees in South Africa. I had seen the constant reports of the struggle of those that were left in the country. In the end, it was a simple analogy from a person who is suffering because of the turmoil that made it crystal clear to me. Neither he or I are sure that the medicine will work but all we know is that the country is sick and we might as well give it a chance because doing nothing is just making it worse.